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The real Motive behind Israel's Decision to Expel Yasser Arafat

By Rannie Amiri

The Israeli Security Cabinet's decision to expel Palestinian President Yasser Arafat from his two-room compound in Ramallah may have come as a surprise to the world community and even caught the United States briefly off guard. However, to those familiar with the machinations of the Israeli government, the events which subsequently unfolded were as predictable as any bad made-for-TV movie.

A few days after the Security Cabinet's pronouncement, Israeli Vice Prime Minister Ehud Olmert indicated that killing Arafat was another option being considered. This caused enough consternation to prompt the United Nations Security Council to meet at Syria 's behest. A resolution was proposed which stated that " Israel , the occupying power, desist from any act of deportation and cease any threat to the safety of the elected president of the Palestinian Authority." As expected, this was vetoed by the United States on grounds it was "one-sided" and "unbalanced" against Israel .  The measure was then shuffled on to the General Assembly, which voted 133-4 in its favor. Israel was flippant in its dismissal of this last vote.

All players in the above act did not stray far from their pre-assigned roles: the Israelis claimed Mr. Arafat must be removed because he actively supports terrorism and is an obstacle to peace. Mr. Arafat said he would never leave, and is happy to die a martyr if forced to do so. The United States , keen not to further upset already tenuous relations with Arab states (yet also quite mindful of the influence of the Jewish lobby in the upcoming elections), spoke out of both sides of its mouth. They asserted that by expelling Arafat, he would pose more of a threat to the Israelis than he currently does under 24-hour surveillance.  The protestations of the two paper tigers, the European Union and United Nations, were simply ignored.

It only takes a cursory review of Israel 's short history and the mention of a few salient points of Zionism to understand Israel 's real motives for wanting to expel, but not kill, Yasser Arafat.

Before we get to those reasons, we should first recognize that Israeli defiance of the United Nations is well established. This has occurred primarily through the proxy veto power wielded by the United States on Israeli's behalf at unfavorable Security Council Resolutions. More interesting and troublesome, though, is Israeli's overt, deliberate, and unabashed rebuking of the United States itself.

A few notable examples include:

- The intentional bombing of the U.S.S. Liberty in international waters in June 1967, resulting in the deaths of thirty-four American servicemen. The U.S.S. Liberty was the only ship in the region which had the capability of monitoring Israeli troop deployments. After the ship was destroyed, Israel swiftly invaded and annexed the Golan Heights from Syria , a move they knew the United States opposed.

- The enlistment of American spy Jonathan Pollard. Pollard passed on highly classified information to Israel from his post in U.S. Naval Intelligence for eighteen months. Sentenced to life in prison in 1987 for espionage, he was granted Israeli citizenship while incarcerated. To this day, Israel has not disclosed to the United States exactly what information Pollard provided. Over the years, there have been frequent appeals by Israeli officials to pardon and release him into their custody.

- The murder of Rachel Corrie, a 23-year old American citizen and International Solidarity Movement member, in March 2003. Ms. Corrie was unceremoniously run over by an Israeli bulldozer as she was standing with a megaphone in front of a Palestinian home slated for destruction. No apology was given, and the Israeli government implied she was the cause of her own death, despite the overwhelming evidence to the contrary, including being clearly marked as a peace-activist and taking no hostile action. The silence from President George Bush and the Congress was deafening. There has yet to be a call by the United States government demanding a full and open investigation into her murder.

Israel has clearly demonstrated that it can not only rebuff the world community, but can equally and as effectively do the same to their number one ally and benefactor.

With the inaction/tacit approval of the United States thus assured, the question becomes what benefit would Israel gain from expelling Arafat? Is it really due to the familiar excuses they have repeatedly given to the world community (supporting suicide bombings, obstructing former Prime Minister Mahmoud Abbas, etc)?  The answer is no, as those are merely for public consumption. Rather, the real motives are much more clandestine in nature.

First, in the mind of the Israeli government, Yasser Arafat has ceased to become as valuable and effective a scapegoat as he would be if outside the Occupied Territories . Currently, he is completely isolated in his tiny bombed-out compound in Ramallah. Israel has correctly realized they will no longer be able to peddle the myth that he exerts any meaningful influence over Hamas or Islamic Jihad. Even his sway with Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigade, a military offshoot from his own Fatah movement, is questionable. Pointing the finger at Arafat in Ramallah when a young suicide bomber acting on behalf of Hamas detonates himself in Gaza will no longer carry the weight it once did.

In addition, Arafat's stature as a symbol of Palestinian resistance continues to grow. The picture of a now frail man, lip trembling, with familiar kafiyyah, scruffy beard, green uniform and pistol, giving the victory sign to the people outside a tiny alcove, has become quite endearing. The Israelis believe the further he and this image are removed from the Palestinian masses, the better. 

Finally, and most importantly, is the facilitation of the ultimate goal of the Israeli state: expansion. This has been and continues to be justified as necessary for its security and survival (a nebulous mantra invoked time and time again, now plagiarized by the United States ). Expelling Arafat to another state, then accusing him of continuing to support terrorism from that state, becomes a convenient pretext for taking military action. This, after all, is exactly what occurred prior to the Israeli invasion of Lebanon in 1982.

David Ben Gurion, the founding father and first Prime Minister of Israel , openly lauded this Zionist doctrine:

"To maintain the status quo will not do. We have to set up a dynamic state bent upon expansion" (Rebirth and Destiny of Israel, 1954).

I believe Israel would ideally like to expel Arafat to Syria . A strong case for the United States to take pre-emptive measures against Syria for harboring terrorists and weapons of mass destruction is already being made in Washington . With Iraq effectively neutralized, Syria and Iran have become the next targets. Arafat in Syria provides an expeditious means for Israel to hasten the process.

Despite the statements of Ehud Olmert, killing Arafat would nullify the value acquired by deporting him. He would instantly be regarded as a martyr for the Palestinian cause, by both friends and enemies alike, and lose the position of scapegoat. The logistics of how to remove him and not kill him in the process is one I will leave to the expertise of Israeli commandos.

We therefore can confidently say that the expulsion of Yasser Arafat from Ramallah would be a coup de grace for Ariel Sharon, the Likud, and all Zionists for the reasons mentioned above. The perpetuation of a climate of provocation and incitement upon which expansion of the Israeli state is wholly dependent, would thus be ensured.

"Our fathers had reached the frontiers which were recognized in the Partition Plan. Our generation reached the frontiers of 1949. Now the Six-Day generation have managed to reach Suez , Jordan , and the Golan Heights . This is not the end. After the present ceasefire lines, there will be new ones. They will extend beyond Jordan - perhaps to Lebanon and perhaps to central Syria as well" (Moshe Dayan, Chief of Staff of the Israeli army, as quoted in the Times of London, June 25, 1969).

Rannie Amiri is an observer, commentator, and exponent of issues dealing with the Arab and Islamic worlds.


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